Post
by goldandblack » Fri Nov 11, 2022 9:27 pm
RACE.1.
2.20. 15 Runners Paying first 3 past the post
BETTING FORECAST 9/2 French Dynamite, 6/1 Ga Law, Stolen Silver, 8/1 Galahad Quest, Il Ridoto, 11/1 Midnight River, 12/1 Coole Cody, Happygolucky, Umbrigado, 14/1 Deyrann De Carjac, Mister Fisher, Simply The Betts, 16/1 Nassalam, 40/1 Slate House, Storm Control.
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VERDICT
The vote goes to STOLEN SILVER (nap), who should have more to offer. French Dynamite is feared most ahead of Galahad Quest.
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COMMENTS
Coole Cody The winner of three major handicaps here, including this contest in 2020; tougher mark now
Deyrann De Carjac Had some Grade 3 form here last term but he's on a three-year losing spell
Editeur Du Gite Has a respectable record over 2m at Cheltenham; stamina to prove now back up to 2m4f
French Dynamite Irish challenger; form of most recent chase effort has worked out well; big player
Ga Law Promising comeback in Old Roan at Aintree; major player if that's had a positive effect
Galahad Quest Creditable fifth off 4lb higher in this contest 12 months ago; likely to go well again
Happygolucky Progressive sort but this drop back to 2m4f tempers enthusiasm on return from absence
Il Ridoto Retains potential but gives the impression he may ideally need a drop back in distance
Midnight River Second-season chaser who scored easily at Stratford on reappearance; has to be feared
Mister Fisher This is a rare drop back in class but he failed to show his form in this contest in 2020
Nassalam Return to left-handed track should suit but still has something to prove in a big field
Simply The Betts Creditable sixth in the last two runnings of this race; should again give his running
Slate House Unlucky in this race in 2019; last two efforts leave something to be desired
Stolen Silver Emphatic winner of Grade 2 handicap here when last seen; yard is in great form; respected
Storm Control His two course wins came over 3m1f/3m2f; something to prove in this major 2m4f prize
Umbrigado Won over hurdles last month; defied this mark in Grade 3 handicap chase at Newbury in 2021
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RACE .2.
2.55. 13 Runners Paying first 3 past the post
BETTING FORECAST 7/2 Shearer, 11/2 Padleyourowncanoe, 6/1 Annual Invictus, 13/2 Sidi Ismael, 7/1 On The Blind Side, 12/1 Fontana Ellissi, Lisnagar Oscar, Zoffanien, 14/1 Jatiluwih, 20/1 Ernesto, Punxsutawney Phil, Valentino, 25/1 Forecast.
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VERDICT
Shearer is an exciting prospect but this new trip is well worth pursuing with FONTANA ELLISSI. The top weights could be dangerous.
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COMMENTS
Annual Invictus Not proven beyond 2m4f; judged on his best chase efforts, he has a good mark back hurdling
Ernesto Won a four-runner handicap at Hereford (3m1f, good to firm) on latest outing
Fontana Ellissi Passed plenty of his rivals late on when second of 13 over 2m4f here three weeks ago
Forecast 10yo with a lower mark these days; no match for the winner in very small fields last twice
Jatiluwih Not the force of old but he could be on a handy mark now he's back over hurdles
Lisnagar Oscar Won Stayers' Hurdle here in March 2020; disappointing since; might have been freshened up
On The Blind Side Won this first time out two years ago off 1lb higher; reportedly had problems last term
Padleyourowncanoe Easily best run last term was over hurdles on reappearance; has a 12lb lower mark today
Punxsutawney Phil This race demands a major career best, particularly as he is 4lb out of the handicap
Shearer Tougher task back in this handicap but he may well be a smart stayer in the making
Sidi Ismael Wind surgery and seven-month break before back with a bang with a tidy win at Worcester
Valentino On the upgrade but needs a mighty step forward today from 8lb out of the handicap
Zoffanien His win at Killarney in July was over 2m1f; this trip gives him a big question to answer
