Post
by goldandblack » Sun Mar 13, 2022 7:45 pm
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RACE 1.
LONG HANDICAP Our Power 9-12, One More Fleurie, Belargus 9-11, Oscar Elite 9-10, Gericault Roque 9-9, Pontresina 9-6
FUTURE OR Grumpy Charley (-1), Our Power (-2), One More Fleurie (-3), Belargus (-3), Oscar Elite (-4), Gericault Roque (-5), Pontresina (-8)
BETTING FORECAST 7/1 Does He Know, 8/1 Death Duty, Noble Yeats, 10/1 Fantastikas, Floueur, 12/1 Corach Rambler, 14/1 Frodon, Full Back, 16/1 Gericault Roque, Oscar Elite, Our Power, 18/1 Ben Dundee, Lostintranslation, 20/1 Discordantly, Kiltealy Briggs, Tea Clipper, Vintage Clouds, 25/1 Grumpy Charley, 28/1 Foxy Jacks, 33/1 Doctor Duffy, Rapper, 40/1 Belargus, 50/1 One More Fleurie, Run To Milan, 66/1 Pontresina.
VERDICT
This very open race can go to FLOUEUR, who caught the eye over hurdles here in 2021 and has considerable potential as a chaser.
COMMENTS
Belargus Won 2 most recent completions over fences; fell in 3 of last 6 chases; stamina to prove
Ben Dundee Ran well in the Plate in 2020; on a losing run but was back to form over 3m in December
Corach Rambler Unseated latest but had something to spare over 3m1f here in December;
conditions suit
Death Duty Likes soft; won Gr1 nov hurdle/chase in 2017; layoffs since; revived latest; well treated
Discordantly Back to form last time but he wasn't a serious contender when 6th in this race last year
Doctor Duffy Hurdle form at the Festival in 2020; ran well until unseating late on in 3m4f chase latest
Does He Know Bags of course form; two 3m novice wins over fences, one in a Grade 2; has potential
Fantastikas Straightforward type who stays well; still has potential; yard 30% here this season
Floueur Promising 2m4f hurdle run at the Festival in 2021; up-and-coming chaser this winter
Foxy Jacks Yet to win beyond 2m4f and didn't find much over 3m at Leopardstown after Christmas
Frodon Front-runs; long list of big-race wins at up to 3m1f; has mighty task under top weight
Full Back Clear winner over 3m2f here, then good effort at the weights next time; more on his plate
Gericault Roque Running with great credit over staying trips but stiff assignment from 5lb out of weights
Grumpy Charley Looked good when 2m6f winner at Newbury; useful 3rd there since; more to come from him
Kiltealy Briggs Improved this winter; chase wins have come at 2m5f/2m4f and stamina unproven over this far
Lostintranslation Exceptional 3rd in 2020 Gold Cup but had 2 more wind ops since and unpredictable now
Noble Yeats Chase career not entirely to plan but he ran well behind high-flyer latest; can improve
One More Fleurie Front-runs; won final 4 completions last spring at 2m4f-3m; miles below his best this term
Oscar Elite Runner-up in 3m Albert Bartlett in 2021; fell on chase debut and has struggled since
Our Power Two 2m4f wins for new yard; seemed to stay 3m well latest; much greater stamina test here
Pontresina 3m chase winner in October 2020; just 3 runs since, failing to complete in both chase runs
Rapper Better than the bare result when 7th in Pertemps in 2020; promising chaser; up in class
Run To Milan In peak form but others are likely to be better handicapped now he's on a career-high mark
Tea Clipper Did well in major staying h'cap hurdles last spring; faltered since winning chase debut
Vintage Clouds Having sixth run in the race today and won it 12 months ago off 1lb lower; suited by soft
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Wolfies Tip.Each Way Bet Floueur
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RACE 2.
BETTING FORECAST 4/7 Honeysuckle, 7/2 Appreciate It, 10/1 Teahupoo, 12/1 Epatante, 16/1 Adagio, 20/1 Zanahiyr, 33/1 Saint Roi, Tommy's Oscar, 66/1 Glory And Fortune, Not So Sleepy.
VERDICT
The brilliant HONEYSUCKLE is taken to become the first mare to win the Champion Hurdle twice. Appreciate It is feared most.
COMMENTS
Adagio Smart and rock-solid youngster; good second in the Greatwood and Kingwell this term
Appreciate It An exciting contender on his first start since a runaway success in last year's Supreme
Epatante Won this contest in 2020 then finished third in 2021; won the Christmas Hurdle last time
Glory And Fortune Narrowly landed the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury last month; this is much harder
Honeysuckle Superstar mare; has won three Irish Champion Hurdles; impressive in this race last year
Not So Sleepy Dead-heated with Epatante in the Fighting Fifth; 12l behind that mare in Christmas Hurdle
Saint Roi Won the County Hurdle in 2020; limitations have been exposed in Grade 1 races
Teahupoo Improving 5yo who looked very good on latest start and has an attractive profile
Tommy's Oscar Would be a fairytale winner for the Hamiltons but looks likely to come up short
Zanahiyr Second to Honeysuckle in the Irish Champion; continues to prove consistent
Wolfies Tip. E/W BET, Epatante
Last edited by
goldandblack on Sun Mar 13, 2022 8:31 pm, edited 2 times in total.