Week 9. THE CURRAGH Saturday / Sunday

[goldandblack]

.................................

[goldandblack]

https://www.curragh.ie/

The Irish Derby is a Group 1 race run under Set Weight conditions for three year old colts and fillies at the Curragh conducted by the Curragh Racecourse for Horse Racing Ireland.

The Irish Derby is run over a mile and a half. It was first run in 1866 and was won by Selim.
Many three year olds run in the Derby at Epsom then run a month later in the Irish version at the Curragh.

To read more
https://www.racingandsports.com/thoroug ... Wordsworth.


HURRICANE LANE (far side) winning the Irish Derby. Picture: Pat Healy Photography

Past winners

26 Jun 2021....HURRICANE LANE (IRE) 3C...WILLIAM BUICK

27 Jun 2020...SANTIAGO (IRE) 3C...J A HEFFERNAN

29 Jun 2019...SOVEREIGN (IRE) 3C...P BEGGY
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RACE 1. SATURDAY 25th June
3:45.....Curragh
1m4f Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (No Geldings) (3yo)[/size][/b]

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RACE.2.SUNDAY 26th June,
3:45...Curragh
1m2f AlwasmiyahPretty Polly Stakes

[goldandblack]

RACE.1.
• Name; ..Kerryblue
• Win Bet……£10.00. Lionel.…8th..16/1
• Each Way BetN/A
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;…All White
• Win Bet……5.00 Piz Badil….2nd.18/1
• Each Way Bet…2.50 Hannibal Barca7th 12/1
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;…Wolfie
• Win Bet……5.00 Win Tuesday…..4th 11/8
• Each Way Bet…2.50 French Claim 3rd 16/1
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;…Lucy
• Win Bet…10.00…fav …..1st @ 11/8...
• Each Way Bet…N/A
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;…Charnwood
• Win Bet……10.00…. Tuesday...4th 11/8
• Each Way Bet…N/.A
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;….Frosty
• Win Bet………N/A..
• Each Way Bet…: 5.00 Hannibal Barca7th 12/1
• …………………………………………………………………………
• Name;…Ashfordblue
• Win Bet……£10 win Tuesday…4th 11/8..
• Each Way Bet…N/A
• ………………………………………………………………………..


RACE.2.

• Name; ..Kerryblue
• Win Bet……£ 10.00..My Astra.…2nd @ 11/4..
• Each Way Bet…N/A
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;…All White
• Win Bet……5.00 Win..La Petite Coco…1st @ 9/1..
• Each Way Bet…2.50 Tranquil Lady 8th @ 13/2
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;…Wolfie
• Win Bet………..5.00 Concert Hall...4th @ 7/2
• Each Way Bet…2.50 Thunder Kiss..3rd @..40/1
• ………………………………………………………………………..
[]• Name;…Lucy
• Win Bet……on the Fav .2nd @11/4.
• Each Way Bet…N/A
• ………………………………………[/b]………………………………..
• Name;…Charnwood
• Win Bet…10.00 Fav, ……2nd @ 11/4..
• Each Way Bet…
• ………………………………………………………………………..
• Name;….Frosty
• Win Bet………N/A..
• Eac Way Bet..5.00 thunder kiss [/b]..3rd @..40/1
• …………………………………………………………………………
• Name;…Ashfordblue
• Win Bet……….N/A.
• Each Way Bet…£5.00 Concert Hall4th @ 7/2
• ………………………………………………………………………..

[goldandblack]

RACE.1.

3:45..Curragh
Dubai Duty Free Irish

SATURDAY 25 JUN 2022RTV
1m4f Derby (Group 1) (No Geldings) (3yo)


Westover ………………….….15/8
Stone Age ……………………….5/1
Changingoftheguard …….7/1
Cash ……………………………...8/1.
Bluegrass ………………………10/1
Piz Badile……………………… 10/1
Hannibal Barca …………….12/1
Lionel …………………………..12/1
Buckaroo………………………. 14/1
Point Lonsdale………………14/1
United Nations……………..14/1
……………………………………..16/1 Bar
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 25/797836/


RACE.2.

3:45 Curragh
Alwasmiyah Pretty Polly Stakes

SUNDAY 26 JUN 2022RTV
1m2f (Group 1) (Fillies) (3yo+)

Runners Riders and Odds to follow

https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 26/810746/

[goldandblack]

3:45..Curragh
Dubai Duty Free Irish

SATURDAY 25 JUN 2022RTV
1m4f Derby (Group 1) (No Geldings) (3yo)
RACE.1
16 Runners NOT DECLARED until Thursday

Westover …………………………..7/4
Tuesday……………………………..2/1..now....7/4
Stone Age ………………………..8/1
Changingoftheguard ……..10/1
Hannibal Barca ………………12/1
Lionel …………………………….10/1
Piz Badile…………………….. 10/1
Buckaroo………………………. 20/1
French Claim………………….33/1
Duke De Sessa………………..40/1
Glory Daze……………………..50/1
Temple of Dreams………….50/1
Vega Maanifico………………50/1
Anchorage................66/1
Boundless Ocean………….66/1
Mana Et Corde…………….100/1

https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 25/797836/
.........................................
3:45 Curragh
Alwasmiyah Pretty Polly Stakes

SUNDAY 26 JUN 2022RTV
1m2f (Group 1) (Fillies) (3yo+)
RACE.2,
14 Runners. NOT DECLARED until Friday.

My Astra ………………….3/1
La Petite Coco ………..7/2
Above The Curve ……..9/2
Dreamloper……………..5/1
Concert Hall …….…….7/1
Purplepay …………….…7/1
Tranquil Lady….. ……10/1
Agartha ………………..16/1.
History…………………..20/1
Lily Pond………………..20/1
Thunder Kiss………….20/1
Lurical Poetry……….25/1
Ad Infinitum………...33/1
Rosscarbery..........33/1
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 26/810746/

[goldandblack]

Tips for the Irish Derby. RACE.1.

Who is the favourite?
As ever, the Epsom Derby is likely to have a significant bearing on the outcome at The Curragh and the obvious starting point is the runner-up, Westover (best price 7/4).
The way he finished off the race at the Surrey venue strongly suggested he would have been an even more potent force had he received a clear run and with the wide, open galloping nature of the Co Kildare track sure to play into his strengths, Ralph Beckett's inmate makes a good deal of sense down the front end of the market.
………………………………………………..
Where is the each-way value?
Having already showed up prominently against the likely favourite last time out, Cash (8/1) makes plenty of appeal as a strong each-way alternative. Universally excepted as being extremely unlucky at Sandown back in April, the way he hit the line and pedigree strongly points towards him been seen in an even better light over 1m4f.
………………………………………………….
And what about those at the biggest prices?

Of those looking to muscle their way into the picture at a bigger price, Hannibal Barca (best price 12/1) appeals as one who could easily take the step up in class in his stride as his performance when scoring over the same course on his seasonal bow was done so in a fast time.
Entered up for several races at Royal Ascot, the fact he swerved many tempting engagements to come here point towards connections believing he has what it takes for Group 1 level.

..........................................

Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby runner-by-runner guide

1 ANCHORAGE
Official rating: 100. Odds: 66/1

Opened his account at Thurles last term and has finished fifth in two Group events this term. Workmanlike effort when filling that place in the Queen’s Vase and this drop in trip is not sure to suit. One of the likely pace angles.
.....................................

2 BOUNDLESS OCEAN
Official rating: 103. Odds: 50/1


Well-beaten in the 2000 Guineas but shaped with promise when second in Listed company last time on first start over 12 furlongs. This clearly demands more.
...................................

3 BUCKAROO
Official rating: 110. Odds: 16/1
Impressed in the Tetrarch Stakes, but was only sixth in the Irish 2000 Guineas last time. He’s out of a Galileo mare but has arguably been outstayed on his two runs over 10 furlongs and this extra distance is not necessarily a positive.
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4 CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD
Official rating: 110. Odds: 10/1
Creditable fifth in the Derby before landing the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot. Ryan Moore reported he was ‘not at his best’ on that occasion and it would be a surprise if he were to turn out eight days later.
................................

5 DUKE DE DESSA
Official rating: 104. Odds: 33/1

Looked a hugely exciting prospect last term, but has struggled in three starts this season, latterly when fifth in the Irish 2000 Guineas. A strong-travelling son of Lope De Vega, his stamina could be tested to the limit. Trainer Dermot Weld is seeking a fifth win in the Classic.
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6 FRENCH CLAIM
Official rating: 107. Odds: 25/1
Fascinating runner given the form of Paddy Twomey’s runners (57% strike-rate in last two weeks). Made a successful reappearance over 10 furlongs at Cork, but he got outstayed in the Derby Trial Stakes at Leopardstown. Another out a Galileo mare, he should stay and is one of the more interesting each-way players.
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7 GLORY DAZE
Official rating: 104. Odds: 40/1
Plenty of promise when second to Stone Age at Leopardstown, but he plainly struggled to handle Epsom when 14th in the Derby. Boasts winning form at the Curragh, but more required.
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8 HANNIBAL BARCA
Official rating: 111. Odds: 8/1

Looks a definite contender. He made a smooth start for Joseph O’Brien when winning the Gallinule, having been fourth in the Vertem Futurity Trophy for Brian Meehan last season. He’s related to Fledged, who has won over 12 and 14 furlongs, and shapes like a stayer for a trainer targeting his second win in the race.
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9 LIONEL
Official rating: 102. Odds: 10/1
Another who demands a second look. Needed every yard of the 11-furlong trip when landing the Cocked Hat at Goodwood. And his dam Gretchen was a winner over 12 furlongs. Given his size and scope, he looks all about stamina. A galloping track like the Curragh should play to his strengths, but he would definitely prefer a bit more cut in the ground. Whatever the going, he seems sure to be staying on strongly at the business end.
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10 MANU ET CORDE
Official rating: 101. Odds: 100/1

Well-beaten in two Group events this term and looks nothing more than a potential pacemaker.
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11 PIZ BADILE
Official rating: 109. Odds: 10/1

Another interesting contender. He looked all about stamina when landing the Ballysax but failed to figure in the Derby. Trainer Donnacha O’Brien has reported that “he was all over the place on the track” at Epsom. Stamina should not be an issue and he deserves plenty of respect back on this more conventional, galloping course.
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12 STONE AGE
Official rating: 114. Odds: 7/1
Unbeaten in first two starts as a three-year-old, including when readily landing the Derby Trial. He got worked up in the build-up to the Derby, including sweating freely and arguably did not finish off strongly when sixth despite travelling powerfully into contention. He clearly is a major player on the pick of his form this season.
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13 TEMPLE OF ARTEMIS
Official rating: 96. Odds: 50/1

Appeals among those at fancy odds. Looked all about stamina when landing a handicap at Chester in May, staying on relentlessly to score. He clearly looks like Ballydoyle’s pace angle and he could run into a place if getting some of his rivals in trouble.
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4 VEGA MAGNIFICO
Official rating 94. Odds: 33/1

Stayed on strongly to land a maiden at Navan and should stay given his pedigree. However, this is another step up and he looks best watched.
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15 WESTOVER
Official rating 116. Odds: 7/4
Narrow winner of the Sandown Classic Trial and caught most eyes when third in the Derby after finding trouble. Once finally finding an out at the furlong pole, he thundered home to finish two and three-quarter lengths behind Desert Crown. Must go well here, particularly with Colin Keane now in the plate. Quick ground is not a problem, nor is stamina given the way he stayed on. It’s difficult to find chinks in his armour.
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16 TUESDAY
Official rating: 117. Odds: 6/4
Bids to become the third horse to win the Oaks and Irish Derby after Salsabil in 1990 and Balanchine in 1994. She looks the pick of Aidan O’Brien’s squad as he chases a 15th win in the race. A short-head winner over Emily Upjohn at Epsom, Ryan Moore was adamant that there was more left in the tank at the line which should quell any stamina concerns. By Galileo and out Of Lillie Langtry, she was second in the Irish 1000 Guineas so the track is no concern and with the fillies’ allowance she warrants serious consideration.

[Frosty]

Hi John,

can I defend my lead with the following 'sure bets' please:

R1 : 5EW Hannibal Barca

R2 : 5EW Agartha

thanks Dave

[goldandblack]

RACE.1.
3:45 ..Curragh
1m4f Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (No Geldings) (3yo)
Going: Good

8 Declared Runners
Paying EW Bets on the first 3 past the post @ 1/4 the odds

Tuesday ...............6/4
Westover ..............7/4
Piz Badile .............9/1
Hannibal Barca.......10/1.
Lionel ..................10/1
French Claim .........33/1
Glory Daze ............50/1
Boundless Ocean .....66/1
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 25/797836/
...............................

RACE.2.

3:45 ..Curragh
1m2f Alwasmiyah Pretty Polly Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (3yo+)
Going: Good

14 Runners
Paying EW Bets on the first 3 past the post @ 1/4 the odds

Le Petite Coco......10/3
Dreamloper..........9/2
Purplepay ...........11/2
My Astra .............13/2
Concert Hall ........7/1
Rosscarbery..........12/1
Tranquil Lady........14/1
Thunder Kiss .......16/1
Lyrical Poetry ......33/1
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 26/810746/

[goldandblack]

Wolfie Bet

RACE,1,
5.00 Win Tuesday
2.50.EW French Claim

RACE.2.
5.00 Win Concert Hall
2.50 EW Thunder Kiss

[goldandblack]

All White
RACE .1
5.00 Win Piz Badil
2.50 EW. Hannibal Barca
...............................
RACE.2.
5.00 Win..La Petite Coco
2.50 EW Lily Pond N/R changed to Tranquil Lady.

[goldandblack]

RACE,1.
8 Runners.

BETTING FORECAST 11/8 Tuesday, 13/8 Westover, 8/1 Hannibal Barca, 10/1 Piz Badile, 12/1 Lionel, 25/1 French Claim, 33/1 Boundless Ocean, Glory Daze

RACE.2.
9 Runners

BETTING FORECAST 11/4 La Petite Coco, 100/30 Dreamloper, 9/2 Purplepay, 11/2 Concert Hall, 6/1 My Astra, 9/1 Rosscarbery, 12/1 Thunder Kiss, Tranquil Lady, 25/1 Lyrical Poetry.


RACE.1.
3:45 ..Curragh
1m4f Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (No Geldings) (3yo)
Going: Good

8 Declared Runners
Paying EW Bets on the first 3 past the post @ 1/4 the odds

Tuesday ................6/4
Westover ..............13/8
Hannibal Barca.......10/1.
Lionel ..................11/1
Piz Badile .............12/1
French Claim .........33/1
Glory Daze ............66/1
Boundless Ocean .....66/1
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 25/797836/
...............................

RACE.2.
3:45 ..Curragh
1m2f Alwasmiyah Pretty Polly Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (3yo+)
Going: Good

9 Declared Runners
Paying EW Bets on the first 3 past the post @ 1/4 the odds

Le Petite Coco......10/3
Dreamloper..........9/2
Purplepay ...........11/2
My Astra .............13/2
Concert Hall ........7/1
Rosscarbery..........12/1
Tranquil Lady........14/1
Thunder Kiss .......16/1
Lyrical Poetry ......33/1
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 26/810746/

RACE.1.

VERDICT
One that could well step up here though is HANNIBAL BARCA, who looked as though the 1m4f would suit when he won the Gallinule Stakes

COMMENTS
Boundless Ocean ...Likely to get his turn at Listed or Group level in due course but up against it here
French Claim... Has a small chance if the forecast rain arrives early but others look far more likely
Glory Daze... 1m4f should suit him and likely to be better suited by this track; could outrun his odds
Hannibal Barca... Should come on plenty for the Gallinule and a viable alternative to the two market leaders
Lionel... Has to step up again and considerably so but very progressive and an interesting runner
Piz Badile... Another likely to be better suited by this track and cannot be left out of calculations
Tuesday ...Oaks winner is the top-rated in the race and adds much intrigue; significant claims here
Westover... Most unlucky-in-running third in the Cazoo Derby; deserving of his place in the betting

.......................................................................................

RACE .2.

BETTING FORECAST 11/4 La Petite Coco, 100/30 Dreamloper, 9/2 Purplepay, 11/2 Concert Hall, 6/1 My Astra, 9/1 Rosscarbery, 12/1 Thunder Kiss, Tranquil Lady, 25/1 Lyrical Poetry.

[goldandblack]

Hi John,

can I defend my lead with the following 'sure bets' please:

R1 : 5EW Hannibal Barca

R2 : 5EW Agartha

thanks Dave

Dave, your 2nd Race choice on Sunday is a non Runner,

[Kerry Blue]

Curragh 3-45 Sat £10 Win Lionel.

Curragh 3-45 Sun £ 10 Win My Astra.

[ashfordblue]

Race 1 £10 win Tuesday
Race 2 £5 Ew Concert Hall

[Charnwood]

Race 1 - Tuesday £10 win

[lucy]

Can i do a frosty please and do £5 EW for the favourites on both races. May have more luck then

[goldandblack]

Can i do a frosty please and do £5 EW for the favourites on both races. May have more luck then

Yep no problem Lucy, your best weeks profits were when you missed a week


So its RACE .1. 10.00 win on the Fav
........RACE. 2. 10.00 win on the Fav

[lucy]

Yes please or 5 ew whatever is better

[goldandblack]

Yes please or 5 ew whatever is better

best bet on the Fav is a straight win. good luck lets hope they win.

[goldandblack]

Hi John,

can I defend my lead with the following 'sure bets' please:

R1 : 5EW Hannibal Barca

R2 : ( bet changed to)5EW Thunder Kiss

thanks Dave

[goldandblack]

RACE.1.
IRISH DERBY

1st 7. Westover....11/8J
2nd 6. Piz Badile...18/1
2. French Claim....16/1

Full Result
https://www.racingpost.com/results/

RACE.1. Winning Bets

Lucy..............13.75
Wolfie. ...........7.50

Current Table
Frosty....... 319.37
Wolfie.......289.18...+...7.50......296.68
Kerryblue...212.50
Lucy...........65.00...+..13.75.......78.75
Ashfordblue..53.14
Charnwood...45.94
All White......25.32

Comments.

Lucy had the bet of the day by doing the fav, finished up 2 joint fav so had 2 horses running
Wolfie pulls 7.50 back on the leader Frosty. to just 22.69.

But with still Race.2. to come everything could change tomorrow ,

[goldandblack]

RACE.2. SUNDAY
3:45 ..Curragh
1m2f Alwasmiyah Pretty Polly Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (3yo+)
Going: Good

9 Declared Runners
Paying EW Bets on the first 3 past the post @ 1/4 the odds

Le Petite Coco......10/3
Dreamloper..........9/2
Purplepay ...........11/2..now...9/2
My Astra .............13/2..now...6/1
Concert Hall ........7/1
Rosscarbery..........12/1..now...14/1
Tranquil Lady........14/1..now...16/1
Thunder Kiss .......16/1...now...22/1
Lyrical Poetry ......33/1
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/17 ... 26/810746/

[lucy]

Yay I won something

[goldandblack]

Yay I won something

Yes top tipster this week in Race.1. Lucy, Well Done

if you had done 5 ew lucy and it won you get a profit of 8.59
if it had came just placed you would have lost 3.28.

So a straight 10.00 win earns you a profit of 13.75.

[goldandblack]

RACE 2 RESULTS

3:45..Curragh (IRE)

1st. La Petite Coco ......9/1
2nd My Astra ............11/4
3rd Thunder Kiss ....... 40/1
Full Result
https://www.racingpost.com/results/178/ ... -26/810746

finished 3rd but disqualified,
Rosscarbery (GER) 20/1 disqualified, rider weighed in 5lb light


RACE.2. Winning Bets

All White ..45.00
Frosty.......45.00
Wolfie......22.50

https://www.free-bet-calculator.co.uk/

Current Table after race 2.
Frosty....... 319.37.....+.45.00.....364.37
Wolfie........296.68.....+22.50.....319.18
Kerryblue....212.50
Lucy............78.75
Ashfordblue..53.14
Charnwood...45.94
All White......25.32....+.45.00.......67.32

Comments
All White moves up 2 places after her 9/1 winner.
Frosty & Wolfie both pick a 40/1 3rd with Frosty having more confidence to put a fiver on EW, and gets back his big lead in the table.

But things can all change at Sandown next week.



Table after Week 9.

Frosty....... .364.37
Wolfie........319.18
Kerryblue....212.50
Lucy............78.75
All White.....]67.32
Ashfordblue..53.14
Charnwood...45.94